JLM Blog | Q3 2022: Housing Market Update

Real Estate News, Updates, and Tips

Multifamily Real Estate San Diego

Article published on September 13, 2022.

The housing market has been hit with a few unexpected developments in the Q3 stats (third quarter) of this year. These developments include a slight decline in mortgage rates and indications that home sales are declining.

However, the near future appears to be reasonably predictable, according to many industry experts, who anticipate significantly reduced or returned to standard mortgage rates, reasonably high housing prices, and ongoing supply shortages despite an increase in inventory. Insiders in the business world are also aware of a downturn, which could significantly alter the outlook for the remainder of 2022.

 

Is the US in a Housing Bubble?

Temporary periods that are characterized by low supply, high demand, and costs that are inflated beyond fundamental levels are known as housing bubbles. The market’s response to changes in demand and supply determines the US housing prices, just as it does the cost of any other good or service. Prices tend to rise whenever there is a supply shortage or rising demand.

The state of the housing market in 2022 is significantly improved from what it was ten years ago. The real estate agency San Diego experienced a boom in 2017, as evidenced by the most substantial gain in standard housing prices and rental rates, historical lows in home mortgage rates, and the largest total of house purchases in 15 years, which reached 6.9 million for a whole year. The housing industry as a whole also experienced a boom. For the past two years, there has been a rise of 33 percent in the current average home value.

The industry was propelled by historically low-interest rates for borrowing in 2020 and 2021, in addition to a limited supply due to underbuilding. The significant interest shown by first-time buyers is almost as important as the limited number of homes currently on the market. The current property market is being propelled forward by exceptionally advantageous age population changes, which are also the primary factor driving demand.

 

Is the Housing Market Slowing Down?

Even though home prices and house sales fell across the state of California again in August, very few homebuyers in this area are optimistic about their ability to purchase a home within the following year.

Some experts surveyed market sentiment one month ago, and the results showed that homebuyers believe it is the wrong timing to buy, so only 9% plan to purchase within the next twelve months. Due to the widespread consensus among economic analysts that the Federal Reserve will raise rates in October, mortgage interest rates are expected to climb, making homes less affordable to prospective buyers.

The pacing of market forces, especially in combination with the ongoing inability to afford homes, led to a decline in house purchases across California in August.  Despite rising employment and wage levels and rapidly expanding listing inventories, home prices continued their downward trend last month and fell by an even more significant amount.

 

Impact of Recession and Effects in Mortgage Rates

Because they permit mortgage holders to secure their monthly bill at a predetermined amount regardless of how strong mortgage rates may rise, fixed-rate mortgages are frequently referred to as an effective hedge against rising prices. Suppose you can keep making some of these payments during an economic downturn. In that case, you will be in a safer spot than borrowers with customizable mortgages (ARMs), which have interest rates that change by the industry.

On the other hand, an economic downturn may affect your mortgage provider’s business. Borrowers will be protected if the company goes bankrupt thanks to the safeguards that have been put in place. You will receive communication that the loan has just been transferred to a new lender or servicer and instructions on where to send the transactions moving forward.

 

Should You Buy or Sell Property?

According to the Consumer Housing Sentiment Index published by C.A.R., in April, 59% of purchasers said it was an excellent time to sell, an increase from the previous month’s figure of 55%. The percentage of people who believe that now is a great time to purchase a home has become steady at around 25 percent for the past year.

Moving is a complex and expensive process, and there is a severe lack of available housing, so homeowners may hesitate to part with their valuable property in the current market. Listings do not grow at the expected rate without specific destinations.

It is undoubtedly the most lucrative market for real estate.

 

What to Expect in 2023

In many aspects, there was a robust demand for residential real estate in 2023. During the pandemic, many people in the United States who had already bought houses came to the conclusion that they required larger spaces, particularly given the rise in popularity of working remotely. The Millennial generation is quite large, and many are in their prime purchasing years.

 

 

Do you want to sell or acquire property?

JLM Real Estate in San Diego can help you today and provide you with a free property valuation.

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